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Recap: Prediction Central 2012 - 84th Academy Awards

Welcome to Prediction Central 2012, the place for prognostications about the 83 Academy Awards. Find Editor James A. Molnar's predictions, along with the actual winners, announced on Feb. 26.


Created Thursday, Dec. 15, 2011 // Updated Monday, Feb. 27, 2012

Welcome to Prediction Central, the place for prognostications about the 84th Academy Awards®. Editor James A. Molnar's predicted winners are below, in blue and bold. Winners, announced on Feb. 26, are also marked below. Molnar correctly predicted 13/24 categories (54%) — ouch! Find our team's full predictions on our downloadable ballot.

Winning Tally Prediction
"Hugo": 2/11 5/11 || "The Artist": 4/10 5/10 || "Moneyball": 0/6
"War Horse": 1/6 0/6 || "The Descendants": 1/5 || "The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo": 0/5 1/5
"The Help": 2/4 1/4 || "Midnight in Paris": 1/4 || "Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy": 0/3


NINE BEST PICTURE NOMINEES…

Best Picture √ Correct
"The Artist," Thomas Langmann, Producer
"The Descendants," Jim Burke, Alexander Payne and Jim Taylor, Producers
"Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close," Scott Rudin, Producer
"The Help," Brunson Green, Chris Columbus and Michael Barnathan, Producers
"Hugo," Graham King and Martin Scorsese, Producers #2
"Midnight in Paris," Letty Aronson and Stephen Tenenbaum, Producers
"Moneyball," Michael De Luca, Rachael Horovitz and Brad Pitt, Producers
"The Tree of Life," Sarah Green, Bill Pohlad, Dede Gardner and Grant Hill, Producers
"War Horse," Steven Spielberg and Kathleen Kennedy, Producers

The inclusion of "Extremely Loud," "The Tree of Life" and "War Horse" were surprising and unexpected, especially the first film. But with a flexible 5-10 nominations, it was possible for these films to make the cut.

Best Director √ Correct
Woody Allen, "Midnight in Paris"
Michel Hazanavicius, "The Artist"
Terrence Malick, "The Tree of Life"
Alexander Payne, "The Descendants"
Martin Scorsese, "Hugo" #2

Best Actor in a Leading Role √ Correct
Demián Bichir, "A Better Life"
George Clooney, "The Descendants"  #2
Jean Dujardin, "The Artist"
Gary Oldman, "Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy"
Brad Pitt, "Moneyball"
Originally predicted Clooney, as of Jan. 24. 

Best Actress in a Leading Role X Incorrect
Glenn Close, "Albert Nobbs"
Viola Davis, "The Help"
Rooney Mara, "The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo"
Meryl Streep, "The Iron Lady" #2
Michelle Williams, "My Week with Marilyn"

Best Actor in a Supporting Role √ Correct
Kenneth Branagh, "My Week with Marilyn"
Jonah Hill, "Moneyball"
Nick Nolte, "Warrior"
Christopher Plummer, "Beginners"
Max von Sydow, "Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close" #2
    Best Actress in a Supporting Role √ Correct
    Bérénice Bejo in "The Artist"
    Jessica Chastain in "The Help"
    Melissa McCarthy in "Bridesmaids" #2
    Janet McTeer in "Albert Nobbs"
    Octavia Spencer in "The Help"

    Best Writing — Adapted Screenplay √ Correct
    "The Descendants": Screenplay by Alexander Payne and Nat Faxon & Jim Rash
    "Hugo": Screenplay by John Logan
    "The Ides of March": Screenplay by George Clooney & Grant Heslov and Beau Willimon
    "Moneyball": Screenplay by Steven Zaillian and Aaron Sorkin; Story by Stan Chervin #2
    "Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy": Screenplay by Bridget O'Connor & Peter Straughan
    Originally predicted "Hugo," as of Jan. 24.

    Best Writing — Original Screenplay √ Correct
    "The Artist": Written by Michel Hazanavicius #2
    "Bridesmaids": Written by Annie Mumolo & Kristen Wiig
    "Margin Call": Written by J.C. Chandor
    "Midnight in Paris": Written by Woody Allen
    "A Separation": Written by Asghar Farhadi
      Best Animated Feature Film √ Correct
      "A Cat in Paris," Alain Gagnol and Jean-Loup Felicioli #2
      "Chico & Rita," Fernando Trueba and Javier Mariscal
      "Kung Fu Panda 2," Jennifer Yuh Nelson
      "Puss in Boots," Chris Miller
      "Rango," Gore Verbinski

      Best Art Direction √ Correct
      "The Artist," Production Design: Laurence Bennett; Set Decoration: Robert Gould
      "Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2," Production Design: Stuart Craig; Set Decoration: Stephenie McMillan #2
      "Hugo," Production Design: Dante Ferretti; Set Decoration: Francesca Lo Schiavo
      "Midnight in Paris," Production Design: Anne Seibel; Set Decoration: Hélène Dubreuil
      "War Horse," Production Design: Rick Carter; Set Decoration: Lee Sandales

      Best Cinematography X Incorrect
      "The Artist," Guillaume Schiffman
      "The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo," Jeff Cronenweth
      "Hugo," Robert Richardson #2
      "The Tree of Life," Emmanuel Lubezki
      "War Horse," Janusz Kaminski
      Originally predicted "Hugo," as of Jan. 24.

      Best Costume Design X Incorrect
      "Anonymous," Lisy Christl
      "The Artist," Mark Bridges
      "Hugo," Sandy Powell #2
      "Jane Eyre," Michael O'Connor
      "W.E.," Arianne Phillips

      Best Documentary — Feature X Incorrect
      "Hell and Back Again," Danfung Dennis and Mike Lerner
      "If a Tree Falls: A Story of the Earth Liberation Front," Marshall Curry and Sam Cullman
      "Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory," Joe Berlinger and Bruce Sinofsky #2
      "Pina," Wim Wenders and Gian-Piero Ringel
      "Undefeated," TJ Martin, Dan Lindsay and Richard Middlemas

      Best Documentary — Short Subject X Incorrect
      "The Barber of Birmingham: Foot Soldier of the Civil Rights Movement," Robin Fryday and Gail Dolgin
      "God Is the Bigger Elvis," Rebecca Cammisa and Julie Anderson
      "Incident in New Baghdad,"James Spione
      "Saving Face," Daniel Junge and Sharmeen Obaid-Chinoy #2
      "The Tsunami and the Cherry Blossom," Lucy Walker and Kira Carstensen

      Best Film Editing X Incorrect
      "The Artist," Anne-Sophie Bion and Michel Hazanavicius #2
      "The Descendants," Kevin Tent
      "The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo," Kirk Baxter and Angus Wall
      "Hugo," Thelma Schoonmaker
      "Moneyball," Christopher Tellefsen

      Best Foreign Language Film X Incorrect
      "Bullhead," Belgium
      "Footnote," Israel
      "In Darkness," Poland
      "Monsieur Lazhar," Canada
      "A Separation," Iran #2
      Originally predicted "A Separation," as of Jan. 24.

      Best Makeup √ Correct
      "Albert Nobbs," Martial Corneville, Lynn Johnston and Matthew W. Mungle
      "Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2," Nick Dudman, Amanda Knight and Lisa Tomblin  #2
      "The Iron Lady," Mark Coulier and J. Roy Helland
      Originalyl predicted "Harry Potter," as of Jan. 24.

      Best Music — Original Score √ Correct
      "The Adventures of Tintin," John Williams
      "The Artist," Ludovic Bource 
      "Hugo," Howard Shore #2
      "Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy," Alberto Iglesias
      "War Horse," John Williams

      Best Music — Original Song √ Correct
      "Man or Muppet," from "The Muppets," Music and Lyric by Bret McKenzie
      "Real in Rio," from "Rio," Music by Sergio Mendes and Carlinhos Brown Lyric by Siedah Garrett

      Best Short Film — Animated √ Correct
      "Dimanche/Sunday," Patrick Doyon
      "The Fantastic Flying Books of Mr. Morris Lessmore," William Joyce and Brandon Oldenburg
      "La Luna," Enrico Casarosa  #2
      "A Morning Stroll," Grant Orchard and Sue Goffe
      "Wild Life," Amanda Forbis and Wendy Tilby
      Originally predicted "La Luna," as of Jan. 24.

      Best Short Film — Live Action X Incorrect
      "Pentecost," Peter McDonald and Eimear O'Kane
      "Raju," Max Zähle and Stefan Gieren #2 
      "The Shore," Terry George and Oorlagh George
      "Time Freak," Andrew Bowler and Gigi Causey
      "Tuba Atlantic," Hallvar Witzø
      Originally predicted "The Shore," as of Jan. 24.

      Best Sound Editing X Incorrect
      "Drive," Lon Bender and Victor Ray Ennis
      "The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo," Ren Klyce #2
      "Hugo," Philip Stockton and Eugene Gearty
      "Transformers: Dark of the Moon," Ethan Van der Ryn and Erik Aadahl
      "War Horse," Richard Hymns and Gary Rydstrom

      Best Sound Mixing X Incorrect
      "The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo," David Parker, Michael Semanick, Ren Klyce and Bo Persson
      "Hugo," Tom Fleischman and John Midgley
      "Moneyball," Deb Adair, Ron Bochar, Dave Giammarco and Ed Novick
      "Transformers: Dark of the Moon," Greg P. Russell, Gary Summers, Jeffrey J. Haboush and Peter J. Devlin #2
      "War Horse," Gary Rydstrom, Andy Nelson, Tom Johnson and Stuart Wilson

      Best Visual Effects X Incorrect
      "Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2," Tim Burke, David Vickery, Greg Butler and John Richardson #2
      "Hugo," Rob Legato, Joss Williams, Ben Grossman and Alex Henning
      "Real Steel," Erik Nash, John Rosengrant, Dan Taylor and Swen Gillberg
      "Rise of the Planet of the Apes," Joe Letteri, Dan Lemmon, R. Christopher White and Daniel Barrett 
      "Transformers: Dark of the Moon," Scott Farrar, Scott Benza, Matthew Butler and John Frazier
      Originally predicted "Harry Potter," as of Jan. 24. 


      The 84th Academy Awards were televised LIVE on ABC Sunday, Feb. 26, 2012, at 5:30 p.m. PT. Read James' ceremony review. The Red Carpet arrivals show, again extended to 90 minutes, began at 4 p.m. PT. Read our fashion review.

      Take a look at 2011's Prediction Central recap. Please share your thoughts by commenting on this post or on Facebook or interacting with us on Twitter.

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Awards,10,kimberly peirce,2,Kirsten Dunst,1,Kodak Theatre,13,kramer,2,Kristen Anderson Lopez,3,Kristen Bell,1,kristen stewart,1,Kristin Chenoweth,2,Kristy Guevara-Flanagan,1,Kristyn Burtt,7,Labor Day,1,lady gaga,1,LAMB,4,LAMMYs,3,Lana Wachowski,1,lara spencer,4,Large Association of Movie Blogs,3,larry fong,1,Lars von Trier,1,Las Vegas,1,last stand,1,last vegas,1,late night,1,launch,1,laura dern,1,Lauren Mark,1,lawless,1,leadership,2,lee daniels,1,lego,2,leonardo dicaprio,1,les jeunes de paris,1,les miserables,2,Leslie Mann,1,leszczewicz,23,Let It Go,1,letterman,2,liam neeson,2,liberty theatre,1,life of pi,2,lincoln,1,linwood dunn theater,1,live,34,live action short,20,live with kelly,5,locations,1,lockdown,3,logo,2,lone survivor,1,look back,1,Looper,1,lord of the rings,3,los angeles,1,lottery,10,lowendick,15,luc besson,1,luncheon,16,lupita,1,luz pena,1,macfarlane,1,Maggie Gyllenhaal,1,maggie simpson,1,Maggie Smith,1,makeup,13,makeup and hairstyling,12,maleficent,5,mama,1,man of steel,1,Mandela,1,mansfield,1,marc friedland,1,march madness,1,marilyn monroe,1,Mark Ruffalo,1,mark wahlberg,2,marlon brando,1,marquette tribune,1,martin freeman,3,martin scorsese,1,marvel,8,mary poppins,1,Maureen O’Hara,2,may 4,5,mccue,1,McG,1,mcginnis,1,media,9,meet the oscars,2,meeting,2,megan fox,1,Megan Telles,6,Melancholia,1,Melissa McCarthy,3,membership,12,men in black,1,Meryl Streep,5,mesa verde,1,Michael B. Seligman,1,michael bay,3,michael caine,1,michael fassbender,2,Michael Gold,1,michael moore,1,michael shannon,1,Michael Strahan,3,Michele Josue,1,Mike Myers,1,military,1,Milk,2,Milo Ventimiglia,1,Minions,1,Misty Buckley,2,mitchell,2,mo'nique,1,molnar,223,monsieur lazhar,1,monsters,1,monsters ball,1,monsters university,2,moonlit studios,1,moonrise kingdom,1,morgan freeman,3,mountains,1,Movie,3,Movie 43,1,movies,173,mtvU,11,mtvU.com,6,muppets,1,muppets most wanted,1,murphy,3,music,26,musical,8,Must List,1,myhre,1,natalie portman,1,national board of review,1,nbc,7,need for speed,1,needham,3,Neighbors,1,neil meron,14,neil patrick harris,12,Neill Blomkamp,1,Neve Campbell,1,Never Too Early Movie Predictions,1,new address,1,New York,3,New York Times,2,news roundup,13,Nick Robinson,1,Nickelodeon,10,nicole kidman,1,Nielsen,1,night at the museum,2,Nikki Finke,1,noah,2,nominations,115,nominees,57,non-stop,1,noomi rapace,1,norah jones,2,not another happy ending,2,november man,1,Now You See Me,1,numberless,1,nyfcc,1,obituary,4,oblivion,4,obsesson,1,Octavia Spencer,1,odd life,2,ohio,10,olympus has fallen,1,omaze,1,on the day,2,on the red carpet,11,on the waterfront,1,ona,2,one direction,1,open air theater,1,Open Heart,1,open letter,1,opening monologue,3,Oprah,7,orchestra,1,order,1,ordinary love,1,organization,2,original score,16,original song,28,oscar,3,Oscar Central,2,Oscar Concert,2,oscar Etiquette,1,oscar fan experience,2,Oscar Journey,1,oscar millionaire,1,oscar night america,1,oscar night american,2,oscar odds,12,Oscar pool,2,oscar race,1,oscar roadtrip,1,Oscar Special,3,Oscar Sunday,19,oscar update,19,oscar week,3,Oscar.com,15,Oscars,339,oscars 2014,4,oscars 2015,6,Oscars 2016,39,oscars outdoors,1,Oscars Twist,1,oscars.org,3,otrc,1,out of the furance,1,outside,2,Oz,1,Oz The Great and Powerful,1,pacific rim,2,pagosa springs,1,pain and gain,1,panel,1,paperman,3,paranormal activity,1,Parker,1,party,1,patrick doyle,1,patton oswalt,2,Paul Giamatti,1,Paul Shoulberg,1,PDF,123,Pennebaker,3,peoples choice,1,performance,13,performers,23,perks of being a wallflower,1,perry janes,2,Peter Facinelli,1,Peter Gabriel,1,peter jackson,5,pharrell williams,2,philomena,1,photos,20,pierce brosnan,1,Piero Tosi,2,Pink,1,Pink Panther,1,pixar,2,planes,5,planet of the apes,3,playing for keeps,1,podcast,3,Polich Tallix,1,poll,1,pool,1,pop culture,4,pop-up shop,2,poster,7,pre-show,5,prediction central,46,predictions,71,premium rush,2,preparations,6,presenters,20,preservation,1,president,3,President Tuxedo,1,press room,1,preview,14,primetime emmys,24,print,2,printable,109,prisoners,2,prizeo,1,prizes,1,producer,4,producers,20,production design,19,production designer,18,profile,1,programming,2,Project Runway,1,promotions,11,pros,1,q and a,1,Quartet,1,Queen Latifah,1,quick,15,quiz,2,R.S. Owens,2,radio,7,rainbow room,1,raj Kapoor,1,Randy Haberkamp,3,ratings,2,Ratner,1,Ray Dolby Ballroom,3,Ray Romano,1,reactions,4,recap,8,records,1,Red 2,1,red carpet,64,red dawn,1,Reginald Hudlin,2,Regis Philbin,2,reminder list,23,reporters,3,resident evil,1,results,6,Rethink.,1,review,180,Richard Ayoade,1,Richard Linklater,1,Richard Wagner,1,ricky gervais,3,ricky kirshner,1,ridley scott,2,rio 2,1,rise of guardians,1,rise of the planet of the apes,1,road to nominations,34,roadtrip,1,rob epstein,1,Rob Marshall,1,Robert Downey Jr,2,Robert Lopez,3,Robert Morton,1,Robert Osborne,1,Robert Stromberg,1,Robert Zemeckis,1,robertson,2,Robin Roberts,4,robin swicord,1,robin williams,1,robocop,1,robots,1,Rockwell Group,2,Roger Ebert,2,romcom,1,ron howard,1,rosamund pike,1,rosen,1,roskam,1,round table,1,Royce Hall,1,RSS,1,rules,12,rumor,1,rundown,1,rush,1,Russell Crowe,4,ryan gosling,1,ryan seacrest,3,sag awards,24,sailcloth,1,Sally Field,2,samsara,1,samuel goldwyn theater,13,Samuel L. Jackson,2,Sandra Bullock,3,Santa Monica Civic Auditorium,1,Sarah,1,saturday night live,1,Savannah Guthrie,1,saving mr. banks,4,Scarlett Johannson,2,scary movie,1,schedule,4,sci-fi,6,scitech,5,score,2,screen actors guild,23,screeners,1,secret,2,secret life of walter mitty,2,Seligman,1,semi-finalists,2,Sequoia Productions,1,set,8,set design,19,seth macfarlane,5,seth meyers,1,Seth Rogen,1,setup,3,shame,1,shawshank trail,2,shooting,2,shortlist,110,shorts,43,Sid Ganis,5,side effects,1,Sidney Poitier,1,silver linings,2,silver linings playbook,1,sin city,1,skyfall,3,skype,2,sleeping beauty,1,slider,8,Slumdog Millionaire,4,SNL,6,sofia coppola,1,somewhere,1,Son of Saul,1,sony pictures,1,sound,2,Sound of Music,1,soundtrack,2,space,3,space opera,1,sparkle,1,special event,6,special guests,2,spencer,1,spider-man,1,Spielberg,3,Spike Lee,1,spotify,2,spreecast,3,stack,1,Stanley Weber,1,star,1,star at the movies,99,Star Trek,2,star wars,2,statistics,5,statuette,12,step up revolution,1,stephen king,1,Stephenie Meyer,1,steve bass,1,Steve Carell,1,steve jobs,1,Steve Martin,3,Steven Soderbergh,1,Stevens,3,store,2,streaming,1,student academy awards,6,students,3,submissions,6,submitted,4,Sugar Man,1,summer,43,summer movies,51,super 8,1,superman,1,sweepstakes,1,Sylvester Stallone,1,sylvia villagran,1,symposiums,5,Taken 2,1,tally,6,tammy,1,tbt,2,TCM,1,team oscar,4,technology,2,ted,1,teenage mutant ninja turtles,2,telecast,125,television,7,television academy,1,telluride,2,thank you,3,That Awkward Moment,1,thats my boy,1,the artist,1,the avengers,3,the best man holiday,1,the butler,2,the buzz,5,the campaign,1,The Class,1,The counselor,1,the croods,3,the dark world,1,the Descendants,1,the drop,1,the fighter,1,the force awakens,1,the giver,1,the gold knight,7,the heat,1,the hobbit,8,The Host,1,the illusionist,1,the impossible,1,the king's speech,3,The LEGO movie,3,The Lone Ranger,3,the maze runner,1,The Moon Song,1,The Oscars,36,The Other Woman,1,The Public Transportation Snob,1,The Purge,1,The Reader,2,The Rock,1,the shawshank redemption,2,the smurfs,1,the social network,2,the view,1,the watch,1,The Winter Soldier,3,The Wrap,1,theatre,9,theme,4,this is the end,1,thor,3,thriller,6,throwback thursday,3,thrust stage,1,tiger boy,1,Tim Burton,1,Tim Gunn,1,timelapse,2,timeline,12,tina fey,10,Tina Gordon Chism,1,titanic,1,today show,1,toledo,81,toledo free press,110,tom brokaw,1,tom cruise,4,tom hanks,3,tom hardy,2,Tom Hooper,1,Tom Oyer,2,Tom Sherak,8,Tommy Lee Jones,3,tony awards,9,Top 10,15,top 3,3,toronto,3,total recall,2,tournament,1,trailer,4,train plane and automobile,1,Transcendence,1,transformation,2,transformers,2,transparency,1,travel,1,tree of life,1,trent reznor,1,tribute,1,tron,1,tron: legacy,1,trouble with the curve,2,true grit,1,turbo,1,tusk,1,tuxedo,1,tv,5,tv guide,1,twilight,1,Twitter,6,Ty Simpkins,1,Tyler Perry,2,tyson beckford,1,U2,2,UCLA,1,unexpected journey,1,union station,1,united airlines,1,universal,1,university of michigan,2,USA Today,1,uzo aduba,2,vacation,2,venice,2,video,155,video on demand,3,Vince Vaughn,1,viola davis,1,Virginia Madsen,1,visual effects,20,VOD,1,voting,24,vulture,1,WALL-E,1,Wally Pfister,1,walmart,1,walt disney world,3,Walter,1,Wanda Sykes,1,Warm Bodies,1,warner bros.,2,Way Way Back,1,waynes world,1,website,5,wes anderson,1,what we know,4,white house,2,whitney houston,1,who wants to be a millionaire,1,whoopi goldberg,2,will ferrell,1,will smith,1,William H. Macy,1,william ross,1,winners,31,Wizard of Oz,2,wnwo,54,wnwo today,54,wolf of wall street,2,wolfgang puck,1,Wolverine,1,wonder woman,1,wonder women,1,wont back down,1,world,6,world war z,2,worlds end,1,wreck-it ralph,2,wspd,1,wtol,45,x-men,2,year in review,3,youre next,1,YouTube,97,Zac Efron,2,zach galifianakis,1,Zaineb Abdul-Nabi,1,Zap2It,1,zarafa,1,Zero Dark Thirty,1,zoe saldana,1,zombies,1,zug,2,
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      The Gold Knight - Latest Academy Awards news and insight: Recap: Prediction Central 2012 - 84th Academy Awards
      Recap: Prediction Central 2012 - 84th Academy Awards
      Welcome to Prediction Central 2012, the place for prognostications about the 83 Academy Awards. Find Editor James A. Molnar's predictions, along with the actual winners, announced on Feb. 26.
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      The Gold Knight - Latest Academy Awards news and insight
      https://www.thegoldknight.com/2012/03/recap-prediction-central-2012.html
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      https://www.thegoldknight.com/2012/03/recap-prediction-central-2012.html
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